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1.3.2Foundations in Physics

Calculating Uncertainties

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Lesson summary

1.3.2 Calculating Uncertainties — AS PHYSICS 9702 notes: Express absolute, fractional and percentage uncertainties and combine them for sums, products, powers and graph gradients.Uncertainty — the range of values around a measurement within which the true value is expected to lie…

  • Uncertainties are not the same as errors
  • A result is written x ± Δx
  • Absolute uncertainty Δx
  • Fractional uncertainty
  • Quote the uncertainty to one significant figure
  • Reading from an analogue scale (such as a voltmeter)

Section 1 of 10What uncertainty is

What uncertainty is
Uncertainty
  • Uncertainty the range of values around a measurement within which the true value is expected to lie;
    • it is an estimate.
Uncertainties are not the same as errors
  • Uncertainties are not the same as errors errors are issues with equipment or method that make a reading differ from the true value.
A result is written x ± Δx
  • A result is written x ± Δx for example 12.50 ± 0.05 cm from readings of 12.55, 12.45 and 12.51 cm.

Section 2 of 10Ways to state an uncertainty

Ways to state an uncertainty
Absolute uncertainty Δx
  • Absolute uncertainty Δx a fixed quantity with the same unit as x.
Fractional uncertainty
  • Δx ÷ x.
Percentage uncertainty = (absolute uncertainty ÷ measured value) × 100%.
For 25.0 ± 0.5 cm the fractional uncertainty is 0.02 and the percentage uncertainty is 2%.
Quote the uncertainty to one significant figure
  • Quote the uncertainty to one significant figure and round the value to the same decimal place.

Section 3 of 10Uncertainty in a single measurement

Uncertainty in a single measurement
Reading from an analogue scale (such as a voltmeter)
  • Reading from an analogue scale (such as a voltmeter) at least ± half the smallest division.
Measurement with a ruler
  • Measurement with a ruler at least ± 1 smallest division.
Digital reading
  • ± the last significant digit unless otherwise quoted.
Repeated data
  • ± half the range, Δx = ÷ 2.
    • (largest − smallest)
A length found from two readings
  • A length found from two readings each reading carries an uncertainty and they add.

Section 4 of 10Combining uncertainties

1Adding or subtracting
  • Adding or subtracting add the absolute uncertainties, so Δ(a ± b) = Δa + Δb.
2Subtraction does not reduce uncertainty
  • Subtraction does not reduce uncertainty the difference of two nearly equal readings can have a large percentage uncertainty.
3Multiplying or dividing
  • Multiplying or dividing add the percentage (or fractional) uncertainties.
4Raising to a power n
  • Raising to a power n multiply the percentage uncertainty by n, so a squared quantity doubles it and a square root halves it.
5Constants such as π or 2
  • Constants such as π or 2 contribute no uncertainty.
6
For g = 4π2l ÷ T2 the percentage uncertainty is (Δl ÷ l) + 2(ΔT ÷ T).

Section 5 of 10Why the rules work

Why the rules work
Sums
  • Sums both quantities may be at their extremes together, (a + Δa) + (b + Δb) = (a + b) + (Δa + Δb).
Products
  • (a + Δa)(b + Δb) ≈ ab when the small cross term is ignored.
    • (1 + Δa ÷ a + Δb ÷ b)
Powers
  • Powers repeating the same quantity n times adds its fractional uncertainty n times.
This is a worst-case estimate
  • This is a worst-case estimate simple, safe and expected at this level.
A dominant uncertainty
  • A dominant uncertainty if one uncertainty is more than about three times the others, improve that measurement.

Section 6 of 10Uncertainty from a graph

1
Draw error bars on the points when they carry uncertainties.
2Gradient
  • Gradient use a large triangle on the best-fit line and take points from the line, not from the data.
3Uncertainty in the gradient
  • Uncertainty in the gradient draw the worst acceptable line through all the error bars and find Δm = |mbest − mworst|.
4
The same method gives the uncertainty in an intercept.

Section 7 of 10Reporting and comparing results

1State the final value with uncertainty and unit
  • State the final value with uncertainty and unit for example g = 9.6 ± 0.4 m s-2.
2Consistent with an accepted value
  • Consistent with an accepted value if the accepted value lies within the range of the uncertainty.
3If the difference is larger than the uncertainty
  • If the difference is larger than the uncertainty a systematic error is likely.
4Percentage difference alone does not show quality
  • Percentage difference alone does not show quality compare it with the percentage uncertainty.

Section 8 of 10More from the specification

More from the specification
Precision vs Accuracy
  • Precision refers to the degree of agreement or closeness among repeated measurements obtained under identical conditions,
  • whereas accuracy denotes how close a measured value is to the true value of the quantity.
Random and Systematic Errors
  • Random errors cause readings to scatter unpredictably about the mean and can be minimised by taking repeated measurements and finding the average,
  • whereas systematic errors shift readings by a consistent offset due to instrument calibration or zero error.
Instrumental Precision and Uncertainty
  • The absolute uncertainty of an instrument is determined by its resolution or smallest scale division, indicating the degree of uncertainty in each measurement taken.
Precision vs Accuracy
  • Precision refers to the degree of agreement or closeness among repeated measurements obtained under identical conditions,
  • whereas accuracy denotes how close a measured value is to the true value of the quantity.
Random and Systematic Errors
  • Random errors cause readings to scatter unpredictably about the mean and can be minimised by taking repeated measurements and finding the average,
  • whereas systematic errors shift readings by a consistent offset due to instrument calibration or zero error.
Instrumental Precision and Uncertainty
  • The absolute uncertainty of an instrument is determined by its resolution or smallest scale division, indicating the degree of uncertainty in each measurement taken.
Precision
  • How close repeated measurements are to each other.
Accuracy
  • How close a measurement is to the true value.
Random
  • Without a pattern in speed or direction.
Random error
  • An unpredictable variation in readings, reduced by repeating and averaging.

Section 9 of 10Key terms

TermMeaning
Absolute uncertaintyThe uncertainty in the same unit as the measurement, ±Δx.
Fractional uncertaintyThe absolute uncertainty divided by the measured value.
Percentage uncertaintyThe fractional uncertainty multiplied by 100%.
Half-range methodTaking the uncertainty of repeated data as half the difference between the largest and smallest values.
Error barA line on a graph point showing the uncertainty in that value.
Worst acceptable lineThe steepest or shallowest straight line that still passes through all the error bars.
ConsistentDescribes a result whose uncertainty range includes the accepted value.
Resultant uncertaintyThe uncertainty of a result calculated from several measurements.

Section 10 of 10Exam technique

1
Adding absolute uncertainties when multiplying — use percentage or fractional uncertainties for products and quotients.
2
Subtracting uncertainties when quantities are subtracted — uncertainties always add.
3
Forgetting to multiply the percentage uncertainty by the power.
4
Quoting the uncertainty to several significant figures or a different decimal place from the value.
5
Including exact constants such as π in the uncertainty sum.
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