| Using μ² in place of Σ x² f(x) | - the shortcut formula needs the sum of column 4 first
- and then μ² is subtracted
| shortcutformulaneedscolumn |
| Forgetting to square the expectation | - μ² means the square of the expectation
- not the expectation itself
| meansitself |
| Adding the constant to the variance | - Var(X + b) = Var(X)
- while Var(aX) = a² Var(X)
| while |
| Treating the expectation as a value that actually occurs | the expectation is a long-run average and may not be a possible value of the variable | longaveragepossiblevariable |
| Confusing the actual gain with the expected gain | - a player may win in one game
- but the expectation shows the general trend over the long run
| playergameexpectationshows |