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4.8.8Additional lessons

Statistical Analysis of Dihybrid Crosses — IB Biology HL Revision Notes & Topical Questions

5 min read 5 parts Lesson 75 of 101

📚 IB Biology HL Hub / Topical Revision
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pH = -log[H⁺] | pOH = -log[OH⁻] | pH + pOH = 14 | [H⁺][OH⁻] = 10⁻¹⁴
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Section 1 of 5The Idea Behind the Test

Why test
  • Why test Real offspring numbers rarely match a ratio exactly, so a statistical test decides whether the difference is due to chance alone.
Null hypothesis
  • Null hypothesis There is no significant difference between the observed and expected results, for example that the offspring fit a 9 : 3 : 3 : 1 ratio.
Type of data
  • Type of data The chi-squared test is used for counts in categories, such as numbers of each phenotype, never for measurements.
Sample size
  • Sample size The expected count in each category should be at least 5, otherwise the test becomes unreliable.

Section 2 of 5Carrying Out Chi-Squared

The formula compares each observed value O with its expected value E.

1
State the null hypothesis and the expected ratio, then calculate the expected number in each class by multiplying the total by its fraction of the ratio.
2
Calculate (O − E)² ÷ E for every class, squaring the difference so negative values do not cancel.
3
Add the values together: χ² = Σ (O − E)² ÷ E.
4
Work out the degrees of freedom as the number of classes minus one, so four phenotype classes give 3 degrees of freedom.
5
Compare the calculated χ² with the critical value at the 0.05 probability level to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis.
Degrees of freedomCritical value at p = 0.05
13.84
25.99
37.82

Section 3 of 5Interpreting the Result

Interpreting the Result
Calculated value smaller
  • Calculated value smaller If χ² is below the critical value, the difference is not significant and chance can explain it,
    • so the null hypothesis is accepted.
Calculated value larger
  • Calculated value larger If χ² is above the critical value, the difference is significant at the 5% level, so the null hypothesis is rejected.
Meaning of p = 0.05
  • Meaning of p = 0.05 There is a 5% probability that a difference this large would arise by chance if the null hypothesis were true.
Possible causes
  • Possible causes A significant result suggests another factor, such as gene linkage or lower viability of some genotypes.

Section 4 of 5Worked Example

Question

  • Two heterozygous plants are crossed and 160 offspring are counted: 94 round yellow, 28 round green, 31 wrinkled yellow and 7 wrinkled green.
  • Test the fit to a 9 : 3 : 3 : 1 ratio.

  1. Expected counts9/16 × 160 = 90, 3/16 × 160 = 30, 30, and 1/16 × 160 = 10.
  2. Calculate (O − E)² ÷ E
    • (94 − 90)²/90 = 0.178;
      • (28 − 30)²/30 = 0.133;
      • (31 − 30)²/30 = 0.033;
      • (7 − 10)²/10 = 0.900.
  3. Addχ² = 0.178 + 0.133 + 0.033 + 0.900 = 1.244 (about 1.24).
  4. Degrees of freedom = 4 − 1 = 3, so the critical value at p = 0.05 is 7.82.
  5. 1.24 is less than 7.82.

Answer The difference is not significant at the 0.05 level, so the null hypothesis is accepted: the results fit a 9 : 3 : 3 : 1 ratio.

Section 5 of 5Exam Checklist & Tips

4.8.8 – Key Points for the Exam

  • Null hypothesis The statement that there is no difference between observed and expected results.
  • Chi-squared test A test comparing observed and expected counts in categories.
  • Degrees of freedom The number of categories minus one.
  • Critical value The χ² value at a chosen probability level above which the difference is significant.

Common Mistakes

  • Using percentages instead of actual counts in the chi-squared formula.
  • Calculating degrees of freedom as the number of classes instead of classes minus one.
  • Saying the null hypothesis is 'proved' when χ² is small; it is only accepted for this data.
  • Forgetting to square (O − E), or dividing by O instead of E.

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